New Home Sales Down, Inventory Ballooned

August 24, 2006

By Tom Moeller

· Sales of new single family home sales dropped 4.3% last month to 1.072M though a 0.9% June decline was revised shallower. Consensus expectations had been for July sales of 1.10M.

· New home sales during the first seven months of this year fell 13.5% from the first seven months of 2005 and last month were 21.6% below the monthly peak last July.

· Sales in the Midwest fell the hardest last month, down 21.3% (-35.4% y/y). Sales in the South also fell 8.0% (-12.4% y/y). In the Northeast sales rose a slight 1.8% (-42.9% y/y) and sales out West recovered 11.7% (-23.4% y/y.

· The number of new homes for sale rose 1.1% m/m in July and rose 22.4% y/y. The year to year breakdown by region is as follows: Northeast, 32.5%; West, 30.0%; South, 27.9%; Midwest, -1.0%.

· The median sales price of a new single family home fell 1.6% to $230,000, down 10.5% from the April peak.

 

U.S. New Homes July June Y/Y 2005 2004 2003
Total Sales (AR, 000's)

1,072

1,120

-21.6%

1,280

1,201

1,091

Median Price (NSA)

$230,000

$233,800

0.3%

$234,208

$217,817

$191,383

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