November New Home Sales Reverse October's Gain

December 23, 2005

By Tom Moeller

· New single-family home sales in November fell 11.3% to 1.245M and reversed more than all of the prior month's downwardly revised 11.4% increase. Consensus expectations had been for a more moderate decline to 1.31M.

· Sales fell across the nation except in the Northeast where a 13.4% (9.4% y/y) gain added to the 41.4% rise in October. In the West sales fell 22.1% (+0.6% y/y) and reversed most of the prior month's increase while sales in the South also reversed the prior month's gain and fell 5.5% (+10.1% y/y). In the Midwest, sales fell hard for the fifth month in the last six and are down 35.3% since the May peak.

· The median price of a new single family home fell for the third straight month. The 4.1% m/m decline (0.3% y/y) to $225,200 left the price about even with last November following appreciation of 17.1% from the end of 2003 to the end of 2004.

· The figures from the Census Department reflect home sales counted at the time of sales contract or deposit.

                               

Homes Sales (000s, AR)

Nov

Oct

Y/Y

2004 2003

2002

New Single-Family 1,245 1,404 6.0% 1,200 1,091 976

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