Sweden and Norway Report Good Third Quarter Growth
December 6, 2005
By Louise Curley
· The official releases of the two countries highlight different measures
of growth. Sweden's Statistical Bureau highlights the year-to-year change in
the seasonally unadjusted data while Norway's Statistical Bureau highlights
the quarter-to-quarter change in the seasonally adjusted data.
According to the Swedish method, Sweden's GDP rose 3.43% in the third
quarter. The comparable figure for Norway would be 3.11%. Norway
reports growth separately for its Mainland activities and for its
North Sea petroleum activities and ocean transport. Mainland GDP rose
3.13% in the third quarter while the petroleum and ocean transport rose
3.01%. According to the Norwegian method. Sweden's GDP rose
0.95% in the third quarter while that of Norway rose 0.80%.
(Norway's Mainland GDP rose 0.83% and the petroleum and related activities
rose 0.69%.) Thus, when allowance is made for the various definitions
of growth the two countries show roughly similar rates of growth in the
third quarter. · Over time, however, Norwegian growth has tended to be more volatile than that of Sweden as can be seen in the first chart that shows the quarter-to-quarter percent changes in the seasonally adjusted GDP for both countries. The volatility in the Norwegian data is due in large part to the volatility of the petroleum activities. The second chart shows the year-to-year changes in Norway's Mainland GDP and it petroleum related GDP activities. |
| Q3 05 % | Q2 05 % | Q1 05 % | 2004 % | 2003 % | 2002 % | |
| Sweden GDP | ||||||
| Q/Q change in SA data | 0.95 | 0.77 | 0.55 | 3.74 | 1.69 | 2.00 |
| Y/Y change in NSA data | 3.43 | 3.19 | 0.86 | |||
| Norway GDP | ||||||
| Q/Q change in SA data | 0.80 | 1.32 | 0.20 | 2.81 | 1.13 | 1.11 |
| Y/Y change in NSA data | 3.11 | 4.65 | -1.36 | |||
| Norway Mainland GDP | ||||||
| Q/Q change in SA data | 0.83 | 0.85 | 0.48 | 3.43 | 1.41 | 1.41 |
| Y/Y change in NSA data | 3.13 | 7.42 | 0.24 | |||
| Norway Petroleum Activities and Ocean Transport | ||||||
| Q/Q change in SA data | 0.69 | 3.36 | -0.99 | 0.35 | -0.00 | 0.10 |
| Y/Y change in NSA data | 3.01 | -5.98 | -7.42 |