Home Price Appreciation Strong, But Off Record Pace
December 2, 2005
By Tom Moeller
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· These rates of gain are hardly slow, and given the near record level of home sales, historically low interest rates and rising personal incomes they are widely expected to remain healthy. · Throughout the country, rates of home price appreciation appear to have topped. However, the variance in the rates of growth between regions is high. · During the last year, job cutbacks in the auto industry helped lower the rate of home price appreciation in Michigan to 4.0% and the state's gain has lagged all others. At the other end of the spectrum, demographic trends pushed the rate of home price appreciation in Arizona to the top of the scale at 30.3% y/y.
· The House Price Indices in this report are weighted indexes based on repeat sales or refinancings using data provided by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac . · Housing Markets and Demographics from the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco can be found here. · The latest report from the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight (OFHEO) can be found here.
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| House Price Index (OFHEO) | 3Q '05 |
2Q '05 |
Y/Y |
2004 | 2003 |
2002 |
| United States | 2.9% | 3.6% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% |
| California | 4.2% | 5.6% | 19.3% | 22.4% | 12.3% | 11.1% |
| New Jersey | 3.1% | 4.4% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 10.5% | 12.0% |
| Alabama | 2.2% | 2.5% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% |
| Michigan | 0.9% | 1.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% |