Initial Claims for Jobless Insurance Higher

November 23, 2005

By Tom Moeller

· Initial claims for unemployment insurance rose 30,000 to 335,000 last week and reversed the little revised 23,000 decline the prior week. Consensus expectations had been for a lesser increase to 311,000 claims.

· Hurricane related claims totaled 21,000 and brought the total of the three storms during the last twelve weeks to 582,000.

· The four-week moving average of initial claims ticked up slightly to 323,250 (-2.5% y/y).

· Continuing claims for unemployment insurance rose a sharp 59,000 following three successive weeks of decline.

· The insured rate of unemployment held at 2.2% for the ninth consecutive week.

· Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee November 1, 2005 can be found here

· Estimating the "Neutral" Real Interest Rate in Real Time from the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco is available here.
  

Unemployment Insurance (000s) 11/19/05 11/12/05

Y/Y

2004 2003

2002

Initial Claims 335 305 3.4% 343 402 404
Continuing Claims -- 2,824 3.1% 2,926 3,531 3,570

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