U.S. Personal Income Rebounded
December 23, 2004
By Tom Moeller
· The gain in wages & salaries eased to 0.2% (+4.6% y/y) after the 0.6% surge in October. Factory sector wages eked out a 0.1% (1.1% y/y) gain after falling 0.1% the prior month. · Personal disposable income rose 0.3% (4.9% y/y), half the gain in October. Disposable income growth adjusted for inflation was stable m/m at 0.2% (2.2% y/y). · Personal consumption eased as well, growing 0.2%, one quarter the rise in October. A 2.4% decline in durable goods spending reflected a 3.4% m/m drop in total sales of light motor vehicles. Spending on nondurables also eased, up 0.4% after a 1.6% spike in October. However, services spending picked up and grew 0.6% (5.6% y/y), up from the 0.4%-0.5% range of the prior three months. · The PCE chain price index rose just 0.1%, reflecting the recent decline in gasoline prices. Less food & energy prices rose 0.1% (1.5% y/y), the average for the last eight months. · "Open Mouth Operations: A Swiss Case Study" of a central bank's impact on the slope of the yield curve from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis can be found here.
|
| Disposition of Personal Income |
Nov |
Oct |
Y/Y |
2003 |
2002 |
2001 |
| Personal Income | 0.3% | 0.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 3.5% |
| Personal Consumption | 0.2% | 0.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% |
| Savings Rate | 0.3% | 0.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% |
| PCE Chain Price Index | 0.1% | 0.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% |