U.S. Current Account Deficit Deepened
December 16, 2004
By Tom Moeller
·
The US current account deficit deepened
slightly in 3Q04 to a record $164.7B versus $164.4B the prior quarter,
originally reported at $166.2B. Consensus expectations had been for a 3Q
deficit of $171.0B.· The deficit in merchandise trade deteriorated to $166.7B from an unrevised $163.6B in 2Q. A 14.8% y/y gain in exports lagged an 18.7% rise in imports. · The surplus on services fell to $11.4B from a downwardly revised to $12.5B in 2Q. Exports of services rose 9.7% y/y while imports rose 13.1%. · From the capital account, US foreign direct investment abroad fell to $43.5B (-3.8% y/y) and foreign direct investment in the US surged to $53.1B, the highest level since 2Q01. The balance of $9.6B was the first positive balance since 2Q01.
|
| US Int'l Balance of Payments | 3Q '04 |
2Q '04 |
Y/Y |
2003 |
2002 |
2001 |
| Current Account Deficit | $164.7B | $164.4B | $133.9B | $530.7B | $473.9B | $385.7B |
| Goods/Services/Income Deficit | $150.1B | $146.0B | $115.0B | $463.2B | $414.6B | $339.1B |
| Exports | 2.7% | 3.6% | 16.1% | 5.8% | -3.9% | -9.0% |
| Imports | 2.7% | 6.7% | 19.8% | 7.3% | 1.5% | -8.2% |
| Unilateral Transfers Deficit | $14.6B | $18.3B | $16.6B | $67.4 | $59.4B | $46.6B |